16,721 Dutch asylum rulings, analysed by type of refugee account.
Strongest: Blood feud or honour killing, the decision stands in 78%. Weakest: Religious conversion, 49%.
Toetssteen collects every published ruling of the Dutch courts on asylum decisions by the immigration service (IND), classifies the account the claim rests on, and reports what the court upheld: per story type, per country of origin and per individual case. Every figure is traceable to a case number (ECLI) and a quoted passage.
What the courts upheld, per type of account
Political activity
LGBTI orientation
Blood feud or honour killing
Religious conversion
Family ties
Concealed origin
Military service
Draft evasion
Medical grounds
Document fraud
BronDutch judiciary open data (rechtspraak.nl), classified automatically with a source passage per ruling. Overall upheld rate in 2024: 87%.
What these numbers do and do not say
Only contested decisions reach a court, and only a part of those rulings is published. The register therefore describes published judicial review, not the asylum procedure as a whole. Granted applications never appear.
Classification is automated and checked against a quoted passage; residual error is reported per archetype together with a Wilson confidence interval on the Dutch pages.