Strongest: Blood feud or honour killing, the decision stands in 78%. Weakest: Religious conversion, 49%.
Toetssteen collects every published ruling of the Dutch courts on asylum decisions by the immigration service (IND), classifies the account the claim rests on, and reports what the court upheld: per story type, per country of origin and per individual case. Every figure is traceable to a case number (ECLI) and a quoted passage.
BronDutch judiciary open data (rechtspraak.nl), classified automatically with a source passage per ruling. Overall upheld rate in 2024: 87%.
Only contested decisions reach a court, and only a part of those rulings is published. The register therefore describes published judicial review, not the asylum procedure as a whole. Granted applications never appear.
Classification is automated and checked against a quoted passage; residual error is reported per archetype together with a Wilson confidence interval on the Dutch pages.